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6 School Transportation Trends to Watch: 2026 District Survey Results

School bus buying is up, fuel choices are shifting, and driver shortages persist. This and more in the latest K-12 public school survey, plus the largest fleets in the U.S.

School Bus Fleet's 2026 School District Transportation Survey graphic features a smiling school bus driver leaning out of a yellow bus beside its extended stop arm, with the survey title and publication logo.

In this year's survey, see what districts report about bus buying, driver shortages, fuel choices, driver pay, safety concerns, and transportation technology.

Credit:

Donnie Biggs, Fairfax County Public Schools/School Bus Fleet

3 min to read


Pupil transportation always changes, and that can bring both the good and the bad. This year, when we asked school district transportation directors to weigh in on what they’re experiencing, we saw some notable shifts in both alternative fuel deployments, purchasing patterns, technology implementation, route mileage, pay, staffing levels, and more.

Don't miss the list of the top school districts, our companion article to this post! Read: The 100 Largest School Bus Fleets in America: 2026 Rankings.

6 Takeaways from School Bus Fleet’s 2026 District Survey Data

  1. Alt-Fuel Purchasing Patterns Shift: Not surprisingly, given a changed federal climate around EV funding and clean-air rules, districts buying diesel buses climbed again after last year’s loss, while electric purchases fell. Gasoline rebounded, while propane purchasing remained steady.
  2. The Driver Shortage Remains: It was a mixed bag in terms of driver shortage standings this year. A few respondents reporting “desperate” levels came back after that designation disappeared last year. However, more districts this year said they had no shortage. The most common shortage level was mild, reported by 38% of districts. Notably: Districts with no shortage or only a mild shortage were most likely to report higher starting pay for bus drivers, at 75% and 74%, respectively.
  3. Buying Increases (Again): New-bus purchasing climbed steadily this year, with 57% of districts in 2024, 73% in 2025, and 84% in 2026. That’s a 27-point increase in two years. It may be driven by vehicle and parts availability returning post-COVID, mandates and/or available funding, or replacement cycles catching up to aging fleets.
  4. Technology Embeds Itself in Daily Operations: Use of rider-tracking and parent apps continues to consistently grow, from 39% in 2023 to 48% in 2024, 68% in 2025 and up to 72% in 2026. That means nearly three-quarters of respondents now offer them. (Noteworthy: Most of our respondents this year were from large districts, so the trend may not hold true in smaller or rural operations.)
  5. Student Behavior is a Top Safety Concern. Despite much attention on illegal passing from national organizations, over half of respondents said they’re more concerned about student behavior inside the bus.
  6. Buses Are Going the Distance: Interestingly, this year we saw a sizeable jump in average annual route mileage per bus. Anecdotally, we have heard of this happening more frequently as districts consolidate routes. In some cases, it means longer runs with fuller buses — a trend we will continue to watch.
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2026 Survey Results & District Trends

  • Average % of Buses Used in Daily Routes: 76%
  • Average % of Buses Operated by Contractors: 9%
  • Average Annual Mileage Per Route Bus: 19,787 | Way up from last year’s average of 13,000.
  • Average Number of Riders Per Route Bus: 78
  • Transportation Director Median Salary: $122,408
Line chart showing average school bus driver hourly wages rising from $18.48 in 2021 to $24.30 in 2026, with annual increases across the six-year period.

Pay continues to rise, with over a dollar per hour bump this year. The good news is this average increase (4.9%) is slightly faster than inflation’s increase from last year (3.4%).

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Donut chart showing school bus driver shortage severity: 37% report mild shortages, 32% moderate, 12% severe, 4% desperate, and 15% report no shortage.

Driver shortage strain shifted in both directions this year.Districts reporting no shortage rose from last year’s 8%, while mild shortages dropped 11 percentage points. But strain hasn’t disappeared: moderate shortages increased 5 points, and “desperate” returned to the board this year after none claimed it last year.

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Donut chart showing labor union membership among surveyed school transportation operations: 47% report union membership, while 53% do not.

While last year saw a significant rise in union membership from the year prior, this year's results shifted slightly back. Last year, 53% of respondents said their drivers were unionized.

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Bar chart comparing school district fleet fuels from 2024 to 2026. In 2026, diesel leads at 98%, followed by gasoline (46%), propane (40%), electric (22%), and CNG (7%).

Propane school buses saw the biggest adoption gain this year (for the second year in a row), while diesel reclaimed its 2024 standing and electric dropped by a few percentage points.

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Donut chart showing that 84% of surveyed school districts purchased new buses during the school year, while 16% did not.

Buying is up, as more districts purchased new buses this year. Last year, 73% did, and the year before that, only 57% did.

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Donut chart showing that 72% of surveyed school districts use rider tracking or parent communication apps, while 28% do not.

Parent apps continue to catch on. Last year, 68% of respondents offered rider tracking apps to parents. In 2024, just 48% did, and in 2023, 39% did.

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Donut chart showing that 45% of surveyed school districts use alternative transportation providers, while 55% do not.

Just under half of districts work with providers such as EverDriven, HopSkipDrive, or FirstAlt — fewer than last year’s respondents, when 56% said they partnered with a small-vehicle provider.

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Donut chart showing school transportation AI usage: 20% use predictive AI, 21% use generative AI or LLMs, 14% use both, 28% are considering AI, and 17% are not interested.

More than half of district transportation teams are using some form of AI, whether predictive (telematics, cameras, maintenance tools), or ChatGPT for workflow and task assistance.

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Donut chart showing student behavior as the top school transportation safety concern (55%), followed by other motorists’ behavior (22%), illegal stop-arm passing (17%), and traffic congestion at schools (6%).

Student behavior rose by 10 percentage points this year, with stop-arm passing falling. Other motorist behavior included distracted driving, cell phone use, and speeding.

Credit:

School Bus Fleet

Modes of Transportation Offered

  • Traditional school bus service: 99%
  • Contracted alternative transportation: 39%
  • District-operated vans or other non-bus vehicles: 43%
  • Public transit passes: 21%
  • Parent/guardian mileage reimbursement: 42%
  • Taxi or rideshare service: 8%

Note: All data presented was compiled and averaged from qualified survey respondents representing over 80 transportation officials at public school districts in the U.S. between July and September 2026. To see your district represented in these results next year, watch for announcements about 2027 survey dates and share your insight to help us identify challenges, opportunities, and report on the state of school district transportation operations.

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